According to ESPN’s Countdown Daily AccuScore simulations, the Patriots-Ravens game on Sunday is likely to come down to interceptions and quarterback sacks.
If the Ravens don’t manage to pick off Tom Brady on Sunday, they’ll have only a 34 percent chance of victory, according to AccuScore simulations. But if they get one interception, their chances of winning climbs to 57 percent.
And the Patriots’ pressure defense should play a key role Sunday as well. According to AccuScore simulations, the more New England pressures Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco , the higher their chances of victory. With three or more sacs and at least one interception, the Patriots have a 70 percent chance at victory, according to the simulations. But if the Patriots get no more than two sacs, Baltimore is the 55 percent favorite.
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